Friday, July 3, 2026

Even after government relief, Vodafone Idea shares are in chaos, down 15% in 30 minutes

The last day of the year 2025 proved to be very important for millions of subscribers and investors of Vodafone-Idea (Vi). The government has taken a big and decisive decision to save the country’s third largest telecom company from sinking. The Union Cabinet has put a ‘full stop’ on the old AGR dues of Vodafone-Idea. However, whether this is relief or just immediate oxygen, it is important for every mobile user and investor to understand this.

Loan meter frozen, no tension for 5 years?

According to the latest decision of the government, the AGR dues hanging over the head of Vodafone-Idea (idea share price) have been frozen at Rs 87,695 crore. The company will not have to worry about repaying this money for the next five years. The government has given it a ‘moratorium’ of five years. This simply means that loan repayment will now start from financial year 2032 and the company will have time till 2041 to repay it. This decision is no less than a lifeline to improve the deteriorating cash flow of the company, because now the meter of interest and penalty has stopped for the time being.

Big relief, yet why is the market disappointed?

Even after such a big news, there is disappointment in the stock market regarding Vodafone-Idea and Indus Towers and the sentiment remains ‘negative’. Actually, the market and investors were expecting that the government would do some ‘magic’ this time. The company had requested the government to waive off about 50 percent of AGR, which amounts to about Rs 45,457 crore. But instead of waiving the loan, the government has only given time to repay it. Investors feel that the trouble has definitely been averted, but it is not over. The mountain of debt is standing as it is, its due date has just been postponed, due to which there is pressure on the shares and the shares fell by 15% within 30 minutes. However, later there was a slight recovery and currently the share is trading at Rs 10.81. It is about 10% below today’s open price.

Principal amount stuck in the maze of interest

The actual principal amount of Vodafone-Idea was only Rs 12,797 crore. But the old rules of the telecom sector, interest on interest and penalty had increased it to Rs 83,400 crore. In the latest decision, it has been locked at Rs 87,695 crore under the new calculation. The company has already paid around Rs 8000 crore till now, but the mountain-like interest was showing no signs of decreasing. If compared to Airtel, their total outstanding was Rs 43,980 crore. The aim of the government is to stop this increasing meter so that the company can continue its services.

One problem did not stop and another one came.

On one hand there was a tussle over AGR, while on the other hand the tax department issued a new notice. On December 31, 2025 itself, the company informed the exchange that the GST Department of Telangana (Additional Commissioner, Secunderabad) has imposed a huge fine of about Rs 6.78 crore (Rs 6,78,07,980) on it. This case is related to wrong claims of Input Tax Credit (ITC) in the financial year 2021-22. However, Vodafone-Idea has made it clear that they do not agree with this decision and will fight a legal battle against it, but at the moment this has become a new problem in the company’s account.

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